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Tortuga Island Disaster

I haven’t seen this anywhere except by Mitch Battros of ECTV

“I have now received no less than six news agency confirmations reporting the small island of Tortuga has “vanished”. The entire island along with its 26,000 inhabitants have been washed away by “large waves”. This unthinkable event happened as a result of hurricane ‘Jeanne’, which has also killed over 2,000 people and displaced 250,000 in Haiti.”

Tim Germer and the Unified Budget

Tim Germer has posted a chart of the Federal Deficit from 1960 to 2002 with estimates for 2003 AND 2004. A chart is like a picture of a thousand words. Unfortunately Germer’s chart is not the whole story. It represents statistics from a unified budget which most politicians use, as did the Oregonian recently. As citizens, whose money it is that politicians spend, we should know what the GAAP numbers for the deficit are. Two things, under GAAP accounting which is not based on cash but on accrual methods, there was no surplus during the Clinton years, and the deficits are tremendously bigger than the politicians want you to know. For example, if you spend $3,000 per month for living expenses that is Cash Accounting if you do not count the oil bill which comes once a year of $300, and the term life insurance bill of $900, and the car insurance of $600 per six months. Under an accrual method your actual living expenses per month would be $3,200 (300 + 900 + 600 + 600=2400/12 = $200 per month). That’s important especially if you think your pay of $3000 is covering your nut. You end up going into debt to cover those extra expenses, just like the Federal Government does. If your debt goes up each year, you did not meet expenses, you did not run a surplus.

Please see Mover Mike Sept 8, 2004

The Alleged Budget Surplus During the Clinton Administration

and the follow up Mover Mike posted on Sept. 10, 2004

Follow up to Sept 8th’s “The Alleged Budget Surplus During the Clinton Administration

Hate to Ruin Your Day!

2004 SurveyUSA Election PollsSorted:
Newest Data on Top
Last Updated:9/22/04President, OR 9/22/2004

Bush (R) 48%
Kerry (D) 47%
Other/Undecided 5%
Data Collected 9/19/04 – 9/21/04
Geography State of Oregon Sample Population 747
Likely Voters Margin of Error 3.7%
Client KATU-TV Portland
Source:http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

This is the first survey I’ve seen showing Bush ahead w/o the margin of error factored in.

What the Exxon Valdez Wrought…

You remember the horrendous accident in Alaska on March 24, 1989, the Exxon Valdez grounded on Bligh Reef, and spilled nearly 11 million gallons of oil into the biologically rich waters of Prince William Sound.

Double-hulled tankers were required after the Exxon Valdez oil spill. The United States Congress passed The Oil Pollution Act of 1990 requiring double-hull tankers now, but allowing the transportation companies until 2015 to replace existing tankers. {A double-hulled tanker is a large tanker ship used for transporting liquids(usually petroleum).The ship has two hulls to prevent the liquid cargo from spilling; if the outer hull is breached, the inner hull keeps the transported substance in place.}

In The Daily Reckoning on Sept. 21, 2004, which I receive free each day as an email, I was shocked by the following article which I have excerpted and you can read in its entirety on their website.

THE LAST PIECE OF THE OIL PUZZLE
By Sven Lorenz

“…thanks to a little-noticed change in regulations. In December 2003, the International Maritime Organization, an arm of the United Nations, agreed to eliminate single-hull tankers by 2010 and to accelerate the timetable to phase out certain single-hull vessels by May 2005.

“The following is hardly known by the public…but this agreement means that 13% of the world’s tanker fleet will have to be scrapped by April 2005. By 2010, a staggering 40% of the world’s oil tanker fleet needs to be replaced.” (As a result of double hull tanker requirements).

What this means is that 13% of sea-born oil deliveries will cease next April! 80% of all oil consumption is delivered by sea! We could be real close to an oil demand shock that will make $50 per barrel look low and it won’t be the fault of the oil companies.

Peter OToole Wouldn’t Be Happy!

For years whenever friends mentioned “exercise”, I would trot out my Peter OToole story:
” I get all my exercise being a pallbearer for my friends who exercised.” It always got a laugh and a rolling of the eyes from my wife. I know she has my best interest at heart, still I resisted. Now this! According to studies published in the Journal of the American Medical Association,

“Elderly people who take regular walks are less likely to suffer dementia than those who take little exercise…”.
“Keeping active has already been proven to lessen the risk of heart disease, cancer and diabetes. Now moderate daily exercise such as long strolls has been found to keep elderly minds healthier.”

No more Peter OToole jokes. I gave up drinking and smoking, now I resolve to give up my sedentary lifestyle.

Can I still make Peter jokes? (I think my wife just rolled her eyes!)

Now That’s a Speeding Ticket!

The Minnesota “State Patrol officer arrested…, 20-year-old Stillwater resident Samuel Armstrong Tilley, for reckless driving, driving without a motorcycle license – and driving 140 miles per hour over the posted speed limit of 65 mph.” (emphasis added)

I was given a ticket a year or so ago on I-405 driving, my convertible, on a sunny day, not a soul around, except for the motorcycle policeman. He said I was doing 62 with speeds up to 68 in a 50 MPH zone. If it happens again I can say “yeah, but did you hear about Samuel Armstrong Tilley?”


The Weather, It is a Changin’

Interesting headline on Drudge: Antarctic Glaciers Melting Faster
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Glaciers once held up by a floating ice shelf off Antarctica are now sliding off into the sea — and they are going fast, scientists said on Tuesday.

This reminded me of site I came across in my surfing:
Not by Fire but by Ice

The first article points out that now that part of the Antarctic shelf the size of Rhode Island broke off, the glacier that fed the shelf is moving up to eight (8) times faster than before to the sea. The fear is that if the glaciers melt, the sea level could rise up to 16 feet. I guess Florida could stop worrying about hurricanes.

The second article is based on a recent book states we are not being told that many glaciers are expanding. Some examples would be the glacier on Mt. St. Helens has increased by nearly 50 feet per year; the growing Nisqually Glacier in Washington State; growing glaciers on Mt. Shasta, doubling in size since 1950 etc.

We are experiencing some incredible climate changes. A recent special on TV hosted by Alan Alda showed dramatically the changes and warming taking place in Alaska. The earth appears to be warming, either by human intervention or naturally as the earth cycles between warming and cooling. To me the jury is still out. (After all ancients used to believe that a spear thrown through the air could effect the weather. What hubris we humans have!)
But, what do we make of growing glaciers?

IIcecece


Peter Ames Carlin: ‘Rather-gate’

Peter Ames Carlin in The Oregonian on Tuesday Sept. 21, 2004 is trying to tell us that ‘Rather-gate’ is not personal, it was just business. It was all about the “never-ending quest for the Get”.

“What’s more( he adds), the fundamental gist of the CBS story — that Bush used his father’s influence to secure a spot in the Texas National Guard, failed to take a required physical in the summer of 1972 and can’t account for his service between then and the summer of 1973 — remains unchallenged.

In fact, a lengthy, deeply sourced story in Monday’s New York Times confirmed all that and more”

Peter maybe you should rely less on the NYT and reread Byron Yorks devastation of this piece of Urban Legend.
Bush’s National Guard years
Before you fall for Dems’ spin, here are the facts By Byron York from The Hill

Basically, what Carlin is saying is that when you “know” the story is true, but you don’t have the facts, it is ok to tell the story anyway.
NO CARLIN, IT WASN’T BUSINESS.IT WAS PERSONAL!

PS you can email carlin at: petercarlin@news.oregonian.com

Let us not leave until the job is done

Robert Novak wrote a column today titled “Quick exit from Iraq is Likely” in which he says that inside the Bush Administration policy apparatus there is a call for a quick exit from Iraq next year; kind of like call it victory and go home. Novak is saying it is enough to have rid Iraq of Saddam. The dream of building democracy would be abandoned.

Ali writing in Iraq the Model says :
Not only is Iraq part of the war on Terrorism, but a democratic, free Iraq…is not an adventure and this is not a neo-conservative dream. This is OUR dream. The dream of millions of oppressed Iraqis who saw what dictatorship can do and who were dying to witness a moment of freedom, to live a peaceful life, a life that carries hope and make dreams not that impossible, a life similar to yours, or is it too much to hope for? We had this dream before anyone heard about neo -conservative

I am saddened that we could be talking like this. Shame on us, if we leave before the job is done, for squandering our armed forces that serve there now, that have been wounded there, and that have died there. Shame on us for asking those mothers and fathers, spouses and children to sacrifice while their loved ones volunteered to rid the world of an evil and believed we would deliver an opportunity for liberty.

We did it in Korea. The job was half done. Look at the difference in health, life and liberty between the North and South. How many millions of men, women and children have died in the North.
We did it in Eastern Europe. We fought WWII to rid the world of a great evil, but did not come to the aid of those who tried to revolt against the Russian oppression, thus left the job half done.
We did it in Viet Nam. The job was half done. How many millions died after we left in Viet Nam, Laos, and the Killing Fields of Cambodia.

If we leave Iraq without finishing the job, we are saying the dream of liberty and freedom that the US has, is not for you. You can dream, but we will not help. We will be saying to our children and grandchildren that we did not value, enough, freedom and liberty. For you it is a dream.
Let us not leave until the job is done.

PS After I posted this, I saw that Victor Davis Hanson wrote similar sentiments on Sept. 17th, 2004, titled SeeYa Iraq? Leaving now would be a Disaster

Canyon Holds Ancient Civilization Secrets

The Four Corners of the US have fascinated many for years, and I have made several visits to this land; home of the Anazasi, Monument Valley, Canyon de Chelly. Douglas Preston and Lincoln Child wrote a best seller and great read, “Thunderhead”, about this area and a possible explanation for the disappearance of the ancient ones from this area. Now as reported in the AP, a new discovery has been made which may offer more clues:

RANGE CREEK CANYON, Utah – The newly discovered ruins of an ancient civilization in this remote eastern Utah canyon could reveal secrets about the descendants of the continent’s original Paleo-Indians who showed up before the time of Christ to settle much of present-day Utah.

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