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If…,Then What???

Here’s a study released in March of 2007. The headline says Regardless of global warming, rising CO2 levels threaten marine life. The logic is difficult to follow: The article states

* Ocean acidity is rising as sea water absorbs more carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere from power plants and automobiles. The higher acidity threatens marine life, including corals and shellfish…

* The ocean-surface pH has been reduced by about 0.1 during the past two centuries (It has gotten more acidic.)

* During the last 200 years, the concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide increased from about 275 parts per million to about 380 parts per million. Unchecked, it could surpass 550 parts per million by mid-century.

* “Warmer water…directly reduces the ocean pH…(makes it more acidic)

* warmer water also absorbs less carbon dioxide, which makes the ocean less acidic.


* future changes in ocean acidity caused by atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations are largely independent of climate change.”

Now if the warming starts first, then CO2 starts to rise, less CO2 is absorbed into the water and more stays in the atmosphere which according to some scientists is a greenhouse gas, causing more warming and less CO2 absorption in the water. I would think, therefore, a warmer ocean would be good for corals and shellfish.

Tell me again about the theory of Global Warming!

rising CO2 levels corals and shellfish Mover Mike

Update:


Boo!, Carbon Dioxide!!!

ScienceDaily starts off with this headline, Increasing Carbon Dioxide Threatens Tropical Coral Reefs. Then in the first paragraph we read

Tropical coral reefs could be directly threatened by the buildup of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2)

and some reefs may already be declining

That’s a whole lot of “ifs, ands or buts”. In the fourth paragraph the article states

Carbon dioxide is an important greenhouse gas produced by fossil-fuel use.

The article doesn’t say that 75% of the earth is covered by water and that the oceans are the the dominant source and sink for CO2. To reach their conclusions, the scientists make an assumption that CO2 ppm doubles by the year 2065. Keep in mind, as I’ve written many times, scientists aren’t very good with their hurricane frequency predictions one to two years out or the weather two weeks out. The authors don’t tell you that

there is now documentation…of an 850,000-year global-temperature sequence, showing that the temperature is oscillating with a period of 100,000 years, and with an amplitude that has risen, in that time, from about 5 °F at the start to about 10 °F “today” (meaning the latest 100,000-year period) (2). We are currently in a rise that started 25,000 years ago and, reasonably, can be expected to peak “very shortly”.

If, CO2 doesn’t lead temperature, but temperature leads CO2 levels, what drives temperature?

Robert H. Essenhigh, the E. G. Bailey Professor of Energy Conversion in the Department of Mechanical Engineering, Ohio State University, argues that “Arctic Ocean” model is the driver.

According to this model, the temperature variations are driven by an oscillating ice cap in the northern polar regions. The crucial element in the conceptual formulation of this mechanism was the realization that such a massive ice cap could not have developed, and then continued to expand through that development, unless there was a major source of moisture close by to supply, maintain, and extend the cap. The only possible moisture source was then identified as the Arctic Ocean, which, therefore, had to be open—not frozen over—during the development of the ice ages. It then closed again, interrupting the moisture supply by freezing over.

The rest of the article is concerned with the Impact of industrialization

Returning to the IPCC data…fossil fuel combustion cannot be expected to have any significant influence on the system …

In his conclusions, he states

the absorption coefficients for the CO2 bands at a concentration of 400 ppm are 1 to 2 orders of magnitude too small to be significant even if the CO2 concentrations were doubled.

Again, climate change is natural and ongoing. The impact of CO2 is miniscule as is man’s. The Global Warming, sky is falling fanatics, are selling you on a bill of goods that does not stand up to scientific scrutiny. It’s a hoax!

Global Warming Robert H. Essenhigh Mover Mike

David Reinhard on MEASURE 49

In case you missed the Sunday paper, I have quoted the entire David Reinhard’s column in the Sunday Oregonian:

It all seems so doggone perfect. You’ve got the whole Oregon farm family, Mom and Dad, two kids and a set of grandparents, walking the family spread to soothing background music. Filbert farmer-dad Tom Sweeney is the first to speak up:

“My family spent 45 years building up this farm and without Measure 49, 22 subdivisions will be built around us, threatening our water and our way of life.”

It is, of course, a political ad for Measure 49’s repeal of Measure 37 property-right protections, and it’s a pretty little thing. It tugs on the heartstrings of even the most cynical city slicker and presents a vision of simple people of the plow being driven off our emerald land to make room for evil subdivisions.

But there’s more to this story — isn’t that always the case in campaign ads? — and it has nothing to do with the intriguing question of how large a circle Tom and Pieper Sweeney drew around their farm to come up with the 22 subdivisions figure.

No, the rest of this Measure 49 story concerns the Dayton couple that’s now so worried about subdivisions that “will be built around us, threatening our water and our way of life.” The Sweeneys, it turns out, sold 11-plus acres of farmland on the edge of Dayton to developers who are putting up 56 homes on the old Sweeney spread. Country Heritage Estates the new subdivision’s now called, a takeoff on the Sweeneys’ Country Heritage Farms. In fact, one of the subdivision’s streets is named after the Sweeneys.

All things considered, the Country Heritage Estates houses should be made of glass, but that’s not the worst of the Measure 49 hypocrisy here. Before selling their farm to the developers, the Sweeneys went before the Dayton planning commission, which Pieper served on a few years back — and sought two things, both of which would boost the value of the farmland. One, the Sweeneys moved to have the farmland annexed into the city. (It was already just inside the urban growth boundary.) This would mean the land would be eligible for Dayton city water and sewer services. Two, the Sweeneys sought the highest possible housing density designation for their property. Their success on both counts drove up the value of their property and the number of homes in the Country Heritage Estates subdivision.

But it doesn’t end there. The Sweeneys have kept three acres along the highway, across from Dayton High School. Perfect for a commercial establishment — a convenience store or restaurant, perhaps — or more homes in a subdivision, if that doesn’t work out.

All this development, real and potential, is right near the farm of the elder Sweeneys seen in the ad.

On the Lars Larson show last week, Pieper Sweeney explained that she and Tom sold the farm to developers because nearby development made it “completely impractical” to farm. The land just “could not be farmed.” But she acknowledged that nothing really prevented the family from continuing to grow marionberries on the land and that Oregon has a strong “right to farm” law. She further said there had been no reduction in the farm’s output right up to the time they cashed in, though she told me Friday the costs of farming this particular piece of land have gone up dramatically.

It’s hard to blame the Sweeneys for making the best deal they could on farm property they bought 18 years ago. But it’s a bit rich for them to tutor Oregonians on the threat of subdivisions scarring Oregon’s farmlands — and the threat to their way of life — if Measure 49 doesn’t pass. They got theirs. They worked the system to enhance the value of their farm property. They saw to it that the highest number of houses allowable could be built on the old spread. Now they tell us all they’re worried about subdivisions and the family farm.

We got ours, now you get lost — that’s the message here. Measure 49 won’t protect landowners from the government reducing their property’s value through land-use restrictions that were not in place when they purchased the land. It would abolish the property-rights protections Oregonians thought they secured in Measure 37. And it would stop landowners in the same position as the Sweeneys from doing the same thing the Sweeneys did with their now-subdivided farm, if the government passes a land-use rule after a property’s purchase.

The Dayton filbert groves, it seems, aren’t the only place the Sweeneys are spreading the fertilizer.

David Reinhard, associate editor, can be reached at 503-221-8152 or davidreinhard@news.oregonian.com

David Reinhard MEASURE 49 Mover Mike

College Football Upsets

#9 Florida 30, #20 Georgia 42 – Final

#11 South Florida 15, Connecticut 22 – Final

#14 Kentucky 14, Mississippi State 31 – Final

#15 South Carolina 24, Tennessee 27 – Final

#21 Virginia 24, North Carolina State 29 – Final


UCLA 7, WSU 27 – Final

NO UPSET: #5 Oregon 24, #12 USC 17 – Final


OSU 23, Stanford 6 – Final

#7 Arizona State 31, #18 California 20 – Final

Update:

Update:


Give Me A Break!

John Stossal looks at the topic, sharp intake of breath. Global warming. Hat tip to Brian Bonner at The Uncooperative Blogger

Global Warming Mover Mike

Oregon Wins!

Oregon holds on after going conservative 24 to 17, with a late USC Sanchez interception. Next up is ASU who plays Cal tonight at 7:00. Next up for USC is Oregon State! Wouldn’t want to be ya, USC!

Go Beavers!

Halftime Oregon 10, USC 3

Go Ducks!



Seismic Webcorders Of Nazko Cone Area

Robert Somerville emails me,

It looks like Natural Resources Canada has made at least one webcorder (the most important temporary seismometer station (available) online: “UBRB”. This station is the closest, if not on actually ontop of the actual quake epicenters.

Using the 2 links below U can view the realtime & archives of it, and other stations. From my information I gratefully received from the Natural Resourses Canada Seismologist’s Dr. Issam Al-Khoubbi, one of the next closest online stations to UBRB is THMB.

I find the setting I like the best for viewing the data is the “Band-pass filtered and autoscaled” option on the Filter options menu …

Note: times & dates are in UTC (GMT-ish)

UBRB station is very close to epicenter)
THMB station is nearby new seismometer, (you) can use to verify event on station UBRB)

Map relating Station THMB to station UBRB (epicenters).. I believe..)

summary of events so far from Natural Resources Canada)

This email from Laureen, gives more background on the Nazko area:

A common expression in Nazko is “the seismic line”

Nazko has had electricity for about 20 years and telephone for about 15. That gives you and idea of how remote it was. There are still ranches in the area that do not have electricity.

From Nazko, west to the coast, (about 200 miles) was basically nothing but miles of green trees. In the midst of those green trees, was a straight, swath of bare ground, running for miles, which the locals call the seismic line.

I think it was probably in the late seventies, early eighties, that a group came in and ran the seismic line. I suppose it was an oil company. My dad said they came in quietly, set up camp, and quietly left. I don’t know how long they were there for one summer or two.

They were testing for natural gas, which I have heard they found lots of. I know the line runs through the Itcha mountains which are part of the Anahim belt.

There might have been more than one line. It seems like I have seen one that runs north/south, but I can’t remember.

No longer is it a sea of green for 200 miles to the coast. It is a sea of red, or, as the dead pine needles fall, a sea of gray. The picture you have posted of the Nazko cone, must be a few years old, because the green pine trees are no longer green.

The winters in central BC usually had cold snaps that would reach 50 below. Now they often don’t get below minus 20. Definitely a climate change and not enough cold weather to kill the mountain pine beetle.

Forest fires are a fear.

Last year the road crew in Nazko spent the summer, widening, oiling and graveling one of the forestry roads. Speculation was, maybe they were going to open up some gas wells.

I wonder now if they will.

I am grateful for you readers that provide information. It really gives us a better understanding of the topics that I cover at Mover Mike.

Nazko Cone Earthquake Mover Mike

Update:


Prince George, BC On 10-26-07

2007/10/26 08:35:32 52.88N 124.02W 27.6 0.8ML 143 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 07:24:09 52.87N 124.07W 28.6 0.8ML 145 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 07:21:48 52.87N 124.05W 28.9 1.1ML 144 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 07:18:09 52.88N 124.07W 28.5 1.0ML 145 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 07:14:44 52.88N 124.09W 28.4 1.2ML 145 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 07:14:18 52.87N 124.08W 29.7 0.7ML 146 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 06:26:49 52.89N 124.09W 28.0 0.6ML 144 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 05:49:42 52.87N 124.06W 29.3 0.7ML 145 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 04:21:23 52.87N 124.04W 28.2 0.8ML 144 km SW of Prince George,BC

2007/10/26 00:14:15 52.86N 124.06W 26.6 1.5ML 146 km SW of Prince George,BC

Prince George,BC Earthquake Mover Mike

New Low!

The USD takes out its low:

See Chart

USD Mover Mike

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