Entries Tagged as 'Business'

Top Books about HR Analytics

The Basic Principles of People Analytics

An ability to understand and anticipate human behavior contributes to the rational use of resources. Such skills open up a huge field of activity for experts. Despite the comparative novelty of the mentioned discipline, the first thematic blocks were laid several decades ago. Below, we present a list of books that will aid both professionals and beginners to better comprehend the basics of management and achieve maximum results.

The Basic Principles of People Analytics

This manual introduces readers to fundamental rules of analysis of human nature. It contains more than 20 illustrative examples, and business cases are directly related to practical application of knowledge on prognostication. Its author, David Green, plunges into the world of relationships through an accessible language and simple concepts.

Doing HR Analytics – A Practitioner’s Handbook with R Examples

This is a real scientific research, including facts, sets of figures and other useful statistics. In fact, the indicated guide tells about how to deal with internal absenteeism, to cut staff painlessly and to motivate wage-earners. Lyndon Sundmark focused his attention on the details, describing practical nuances of personnel supervision. The author dressed own text in an attractive presentation format, which greatly facilitates the audience insight on HR-analytics aspects.

The Power of People: Learn How to Use Successful Organizations

Actually, we deal with a bestseller designed for HR managers and chiefs of any level. If you are planning a business project, first read these books. They will help you not only to cope with enormous energy and potential of workers, but also to get acquainted with innovative ideas in this area. The title is not chosen by chance. The manual is written for people in order to teach them to find a common language with their own kind. Their impressions and experiences are shared by adepts.

Winning on HR Analytics: Leveraging Data for Competitive Advantage

In the current world of global innovation, HR knowledge becomes dominant. It is these skills that facilitate the measurement of a potential of social capital and setting of strategic goals for various devices. Famous global giants like Google, Walmart or American Express have achieved tremendous results due to the correct domestic policy. The authorities of companies highly appreciate the contribution of each laborer to the common cause, which stimulates the staff to produce new ideas. Wise analytics involves verifying the findings, updating research methods and formulating clear hypotheses. This book is invaluable for practitioners seeking to create healthy competition.

The Employee Experience Advantage: How to Win the War for Talent by Giving Employees the Workspaces

Conclusions and recommendations of the mentioned study are based on the outcomes, grounding on more than 100 scientific articles and interviews with successful executives of firms. The authors came to an inference about the existence of three communication levels within any organization, namely: cultural, technological and physical components. Visiting every milieu, you can reach extrapolation of staff‘s experience through the space COOL, technology ACE and culture CELEBRATED. Specialists are given a unique chance to design a future workplace where employees will want to spend as much time as possible.

“The Workplace Is Killing People, and Nobody Cares” by Jeffrey Pfeffer & Dylan Walsh

The authors of this book begin not with a boring preface, but with accusations against employers. The last is that people are forced to die for their wages, working in bad conditions. The human psyche is under the pressure not only of modern fears and depression. Excessive damage is caused by the indifference of companies that are not interested in the excellent arrangement of an office. According to Pfeffer, it is the analyst who is able to shed light on the solution to this issue. Having received the relevant data, you will give an opportunity to make a correct assessment of the production dynamics, team cohesion and a sense of individual satisfaction. It remains only to hope that the sharks of business will find it necessary to listen to Pfeffer’s advice and reduce the harm caused. The main thing is to get it in the nearest store.

“Why HR needs to up its game in strategic people analytics” by Max Blumberg

Max Blumberg is known for his original thoughts and powerful interviews about social capital. Some of his articles have a truly provocative effect. The last work is no exception. On its pages, he states that current managers need to step up to address economic problems. The lack of an adequate response will inflict enormous damage on the company’s laborers. The author practically paints a training course aimed at improving the fundamentals of HR and forecasting in general. Max argues that this is one of the numerous ways to get people to move from concrete projects and operational tasks towards the real impact on business leaders.

“How to start a people analytics project” by Andrew Marritt

This author refers to one of the most astute commentators on technological and human subjects. Already in 2018, Andrew wrote a lot of articles, including the problem of HR analysts. His data are systematized and verified. He describes a number of techniques, such as “5 Whys”, for the timely identification of a “hole” in a business structure. In addition, the author emphasizes the need for its quick resolution, gives recommendations on the development and testing of concepts, suggests new methods of gathering information and criteria for assessing success. In general, you will receive a guidebook for all times, compiled in a simple and understandable language.

“Big Companies Are Embracing Analytics, But Most Still Do not Have a Data-Driven Culture” by Tom Davenport & Randy Bean

According to the Bersin study, more than 60% of large companies have acquired special teams to analyze behavior patterns. Not surprisingly, only understanding their motives receives the key to the progress of any collective action. Important decisions should be made taking into account the received data and internal culture. This article is more relevant than ever, as its authors demonstrate that only one-third of firms have succeeded in switching to a data policy. On the one hand, such conclusion sounds promising, indicating further trends. On the other hand, the figure is appalling as few firms have realized the value of HR analysts.

Thus, your attention was given to the list of books have repeatedly proved their effectiveness, both in providing theoretical information and in testing practical skills. Naturally, it is difficult to call it exhaustive. In fact, every month there are interesting novelties that cause a desire to try the methods they proposed in real life.

Top Ways To Protect Your Finances When Buying Online

Top Ways To Protect Your Finances When Buying Online

Buying and selling online is big business across the world. In 2017, 1.66 billion individuals purchased products on the net and this figure is expected to increase further in 2018. However, numerous fraudulent practices are targeting e-commerce businesses, and are risking the finances of individuals up and down the country. With many seeking out the American dream, losing your cash after innocently shopping on the net is a devastating blow. Thankfully, there’s no need to worry if you take onboard these top buying tips when you next shop online.

Be vigilant

South America is currently emerging as a hotspot for identity fraud as a result of cyber criminals hacking into e-commerce systems and stealing the personal data of online shoppers. Most people don’t think twice about entering their date of birth, address and bank account details when shopping online, but have you ever stopped to think about what happens to this data once your parcel has been dispatched? You should choose the sites you purchase from and provide your personal details to wisely, even if it sometimes means you have to pay a few more dollars for your goods.  Always be on the lookout for signs that something isn’t legit with the company, such as no reviews or feedback.

Check the site’s security status

It would be fair to say that a large proportion of people don’t stop to check that the e-commerce site they’re purchasing from is secure before proceeding to make a purchase, but if you want to protect your finances from criminals you need to avoid getting over excited and rushing ahead to the checkout. A secure website will start with https rather than http and your browser bar will confirm the security of the site by showing a padlock. Consider using Chrome as your browser when shopping online as from July 2018, all http websites will be marked as ‘not secure’, making it easier for you to identify that the online shop is one to steer clear of.

Know your rights

As you don’t get to physically see or hold an item before you buy it online, consumers usually have better rights. You should always take the time to read the e-commerce site’s terms of sale including their refund policy before you buy any goods and it’s always worth making online purchases with a credit card as, if a problem occurs, you can dispute the charge. It’s wise to utilize an e-commerce site that has a reputation for providing good customer service and support, both before and after the sale, as these are the sites that care and appreciate you as a customer. It is a sign that they will do their utmost to protect the data they hold on you, including your bank account information.

Buying goods online is an efficient and convenient way of shopping for billions of people each year. However, many consumers need to put more effort into keeping their data and financial information secure when on the net. Being vigilant about who you buy from and what personal data you’re giving out is vital while checking the security status of every site you visit is a must. Take the time to read up on your rights, too, before checking out and freely handing over your personal data as this will provide you and your finances with ultimate protection.

 Jenny Holt jennyholt@accurasend.net

Key Tips On How to Avoid Business Litigation

Facing business litigation can be expensive and stressful. It also can significantly impact your productivity. In fact, the potential costs including the attorney’s fees, court fees, and other related fees can be excessively higher than you expect. That’s why as business owners, part of your responsibilities is to ensure that your business is running smoothly without the possibility of getting involved in a lawsuit. Following are some Key Tips On How to Avoid Business Litigation:

Key Tips On How to Avoid Business Litigation

  1. Hire A Company Lawyer: Running your own business means regularly going over several legal considerations.
  • Getting a company attorney can help you operate your business in a legal sense. With all the legalities associated with managing a business, your attorney can advise you on what to do in certain situations.
  • For instance, if you’re dealing with business contracts, you can have these documents reviewed first by your lawyer before signing them. That way, you can be sure that your attorney is protecting your business interests at all times.
  • When you have the right lawyer for your company, you’ll also know how to handle your business in such a way that you’ll avoid litigations in the future.
  • However, looking for the appropriate attorney may not be easy. As a business owner, it’s best if you consider the attorney’s familiarity with the local customs and laws of the business you operate. Make sure to get a lawyer who has expertise in a particular field of law. Try to inquire about their years of experience in handling business litigations in the past. Doing so will help you determine the appropriateness of the attorney in your business.
  1. Maintain A Good Employer-Employee Relationship: In some cases, business litigations involve unresolved disputes regarding employers and employees.
  • Remember employees initiate most business litigations and terminated by their employers without due process. For that reason alone, there’s no doubt that your employees can bring severe problems to your business.
  • If you want to prevent litigations brought by your employees, make sure to treat them with dignity and respect. Give them what’s due for them, and they’ll surely work for you correctly.
  • Although you hire them to work for your business, managing them properly can improve your employer and employee relationship in the long run.
  • As much as possible, try to look for resources wherein you can provide staff training to your employees. The practices can be expensive, but these can also be considered as quality business investments because you’re giving your employees opportunities to enhance their skills and capabilities.
  • Training your staff well can decrease the likelihood of having problems with them in the future. When you have trustworthy employees working for your business, possible business litigation won’t likely happen.

More Key Tips On How to Avoid Business Litigation

  1. Preserve Records Of Everything: When you’re operating a business, documentation plays a vital role.
  • Take note that documents are essential to business operations, that’s why these shouldn’t be taken for granted. These records serve several purposes, and one of which is to bring these documents in court as pieces of evidence when you’re business is facing litigation.
  • In these type of situations, keeping records of everything can save your business from being sued in court. In fact, many disputes can be prevented when you’re able to present essential documents as quickly as possible.
  • That’s why you should make sure that you preserve your business records with utmost security. These materials may include business and employment contracts, correspondence and even telephone conversations and emails. If possible, take time to review your record retention policy is in place to ensure that all records about business operations are well-kept.
  1. Provide Exceptional Service: A business providing exceptional service to customers, business partners and suppliers can prevent you from facing potential business litigation.
  • When you know how to make your clients happy and satisfied at all times, you’ll unlikely find your business in litigation.
  • For instance, litigation will not occur if you actively communicate with your customers, business partners, and suppliers. Having an approachable team of customer service representatives can help your business address and resolve issues with your clients and vendors.
  • If you’re concerned about your business having a lawsuit against it, make sure that you don’t take any dispute for granted.

More Key Tips On How to Avoid Business Litigation

  1. Resolve Disputes Internally: There are instances where disputes arise within your business. It’s true; especially you have different people helping you in handling your operations. However, these circumstances can affect your business performance.
  • Disputes most likely happen when people freely express their various opinions and views on things.
  • Bear in mind that it’s important to resolve these conflicts as soon as possible within your means before they convert into a business litigation, which is a costly and time-consuming way of settling disputes.
  • In solving a dispute internally, it’s best if you conduct it in the presence of your company lawyer to ensure that you follow the legal procedures in dispute settlement.
  1. Provide Exceptional Service: A business providing exceptional service to customers, business partners and suppliers can prevent you from facing potential business litigation.
  • When you know how to make your clients happy and satisfied at all times, you’ll unlikely find your business in litigation.
  • For instance, litigation will not occur if you actively communicate with your customers, business partners, and suppliers. Having an approachable team of customer service representatives can help your business address and resolve issues with your clients and vendors.
  • If you’re concerned about your business having a lawsuit against it, make sure that you don’t take any dispute for granted.

There are several ways on how to avoid business litigation. Consider these tips, and they’ll eventually benefit your business in the long run. If you find speaking to an attorney helpful in this kind of situation, do it now. Bear in mind that your business’ continuity is assured when you’re mindful of the things you do.

Disclaimer: This content should only be used as general information about the key tips on how to avoid business litigation. It shouldn’t however, be taken as specific legal advice regarding the subject matter. If you want appropriate legal advice for your situation, seek for the services of a licensed attorney who specializes in business litigations.

Irene Wall

Irene Wall has been writing about law for more than a decade. She writes pieces on various law topics that she hopes could help the common reader with their concerns. She enjoys playing basketball with her sons during her free time

How Online Conveyancing Is Changing the Property Transaction Game Forever

How Online Conveyancing Is Changing the Property Transaction Game Forever

How Online Conveyancing Is Changing the Property Transaction Game Forever

From groceries to makeup, everyone is stepping into the virtual world of the internet when it comes to shopping. From booking online doctor’s appointments to paying taxes on the car, everything is going digital. Real estate property hasn’t stayed behind in the quest either. More and more sellers are putting up their houses for sale online, hoping to meet buyers via a larger platform. Following this trend, solicitors too have stepped onboard and are now making legal transactions easier and faster with online conveyancing. Here’s How Online Conveyancing Is Changing the Property Transaction Game Forever.

How Online Conveyancing Is Changing the Property Transaction Game Forever. Is it safe?

This query is understandable since it isn’t a few thousand dollars we are talking about. For most people, houses are lifetime investments. With the internet full of scammers, hackers, and spammers, it is very natural for anyone to feel scared when transferring money online. However, you can cast off this fear easily when working with legitimate and well-reputed private solicitors or solicitors firms such as MyPlace Conveyancing. In fact, online conveyancing has become much safer as compared to traditional or in-person conveyancing. How? Because any local solicitor will have low-security measures in place whereas online conveyancing is highly guarded by smart security measures in place.

Not to mention, online conveyancing is much easier and involves a 4-step procedure that requires little to no effort from the vendor.

  1. The first step involves finding a solicitor and instructing them to handle your transfer
  2. Once an agreement is made, the conveyancer will send you the forms to be filled out regarding property checks and searches. In case, there are any issues with the form filling, the conveyancer will help sort them out.
  3. After everything is sorted out, your filled forms will be reviewed by you and the solicitor.
  4. The vendor can then instruct the conveyancer to exchange the sale contract and wait for the completion date.

Coming back to the advantages of online conveyancing over in-person conveyancing, let’s take a look at them in depth.

Faster Dealings

There are many time-consuming steps when working with an offline conveyancer. The paper settlement can take up to weeks, requiring frequent visits and calls from the vendor to the handler. Online conveyancing vendors can complete the same process in lesser time without the need for meetings and phone calls.

Decreased costs

The overall cost of the settlement is reduced as there are no settlement agents involved. The conveyancer and the vendor also don’t have to pay for settlement venues, courier services or purchase any bank cheques. Eliminating these costs leave the vendor with an additional £150-£200/transaction in his/her bank.

Convenience

Everyone who has dealt with property knows that it involves a ton of paperwork. When using online conveyancing services, the process becomes a lot simpler. There isn’t an excessive amount of documentation invoked which is in favour of both the vendor and the conveyancer. Documents are also signed digitally which means that conveyancers don’t have to stop by for a few signatures every now and then.

Safety

There is less room for error when working with online conveyancers. Printing electronically makes it easier to keep and maintain any records and receipts. This gives vendors an added piece of mind.

Timely Notifications

Thanks to online Conveyancing, sellers don’t have to constantly stay stressed about their transactions. Theyrecceivce updates via texts and emails. This way, the vendors feel in the loop without needing a physical presence at the settlement. The solicitors keep the vendors updated about and progress and also about any issues that need addressing.

Useless Advice

Useless Advice

Useless Advice

To see how misleading the Fed’s interest rate hike projections have been in recent years, have a look at the chart below.
As you can see, projected interest rate hikes compared to actual rate hikes differ drastically.

I don’t know what’s worse… the Fed’s forward guidance track record or the people who actually trade on that guidance.

Yet there I was on Wednesday night watching a Harvard-educated “analyst” on Fox News telling “Special Report” anchor Brett Baier that the most important thing investors needed to be concerned with was the Fed’s plan to raise rates three times in 2017.

That’s utterly worthless advice.

Hold on. I am being kind.

That’s moronic advice.

The data clearly shows that the Fed doesn’t do what is says it’s going to do.

Look, does anyone not sniffing bath salts believe the Fed is going to continue raising rates on schedule if the U.S. stock market craters… or if Europe implodes… or if China’s credit bubble bursts?

Please.

There are countless Fed “variables” it will use to justify altering its plan… as it has in years past.

The bottom line is the only thing of value we learned from the Fed this week is they raised rates on Wednesday.

That’s it.

What it does in 2017 has no relation to its stated projections, just as was the case in 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016.

Worrying about the implications of the Fed’s rate hike timetable is a time-sucking charade designed to bleed you dry. The Fed and the media are never on your side.

Focus on the only truth you know, and that is the price action of all markets.

Let the price action dictate your actions, your buys and sells. That’s what winners do.

Please send me your comments to coveluncensored@agorafinancial.com. Let me know what you think of today’s issue.

Regards,

Michael Covel
Editor, Covel Uncensored

The Fed’s “Debt Monster” Is Calling the Shots

The Fed’s “Debt Monster”

Bill Bonner calls our attention to the danger:

You know our prediction: The Fed will never willingly lead interest rates to a neutral position.

It can’t. The FED  has created a debt monster. It must feed this Frankenstein with easy credit.

This time last year, the Fed began its “rate-tightening cycle.” That is, it began raising short-term interest rates.

It pledged to continue to do so in 2016. But then it diddled and dawdled, fiddled and fawdled… claiming to be on top of the situation… watching its “data” come in like a fisherman’s wife waiting for the return of the fleet… and not wanting to admit she was already a widow.

What it was really waiting for was a place to hide.

The Fed can raise short-term rates. But it will have to follow, not lead. It will have to hide in the shadow of rising consumer prices, staying “behind the curve” of inflation expectations.

That way, the expected real interest rate – the rate of return on your money above the rate of consumer price inflation – never really returns to neutral.

Already, the price of a barrel of crude oil – a key input into prices across the economy – is twice what it was 10 months ago. Leading business-cycle research firm the Economic Cycle Research Institute says the inflation cycle has turned positive.

And already, foreign nations are talking about retaliating against Team Trump by canceling orders and imposing new tariffs in their own versions of “better trade deals.”

This, too, is bound to raise prices.

Forget speculating on stocks, options, or other risky, low-probability moneymaking schemes. This wealth-building formula is the most reliable way to make seven figures in seven years or less in today’s uncertain economy…

Funny Money Antics

But if consumer price inflation were really a concern, the bond market would race ahead of the Fed, imposing its own regimen of rising yields.

The Fed’s increases would be too little and too late to have any real effect on the outcome.

Bondholders don’t care much about nominal rates. If consumer price inflation were to rise to the Fed’s 2% target, for example, bondholders might clamor for a 4% yield to give them a positive 2%.

That is a big increase over the 52-week low of 1.32% the yield on the 10-year Treasury note hit on July 4.

But you don’t get that kind of seismic shift without cracking some flower pots.

Much of the world’s $225 trillion in debt is calibrated to borrowers who will have a hard time surviving a 3% interest rate world, let alone a 4% one.

This is an economy that can stand a lot of grotesque and absurd “funny money” antics. It can survive a bizarre financial world; it can’t survive a normal one.

As inflation expectations increase, investors do not sit still and watch their retirements, their savings, and their fortunes get broken by inflation.

They don’t wait for the Fed’s policy-setting committee to meet. They don’t reflect calmly as the Fed’s wonks collect their “data” and create their “dot plots.”

Instead, they act out. The monster gets mad and starts throwing things.

First through the window are the bonds. They get chucked out before inflation manifests itself fully… and long before the Fed increases its key short-term rate.

Then, the “boom” turns quickly into stagflation… as higher borrowing costs pinch off growth even as consumer prices continue to rise.

But more likely, inflation is not really surging… Not yet.

And most likely, it will be the painfully apparent when the U.S. economy goes into recession next year.

Then, it will be stocks’ turn to get tossed out, while bonds sneak back in through the side door.

It will also be apparent that the Fed has taken another false step… that the recovery was a sham… and that it’s the debt monster calling the shots, not Janet Yellen.

Regards,

Bill Bonner

5 Tips to Easily Relocate Your Business

5 Tips to Easily Relocate Your Business

5 Tips to Easily Relocate Your Business

It could be that your lease is up. Or that your company is growing in size. Whatever the reason behind your business move, you’re thanking your lucky stars you’ve finally found a new premises. Yet even the mere thought of having to go through the actual move is enough to produce one hell of a headache. Don’t rush for the aspirin just yet, though. Read up on these 5 tips to easily relocate your business, instead. And ensure your move goes as well as it possibly can.

1. Create a timeline

As at least part of your business will be non-operational as the relocation occurs, you want to ensure your move is as quick and efficient as possible. Don’t rest on your laurels once you’ve finally found your new premises. Get to work and start creating a timeline of what needs to be done prior to the big move. Remember, employees need to be told 4-6 months before moving day and will require regular updating. You’ll also need to create a packing schedule, pencil in dates for updating the phone service and Internet and make sure to leave time for new permits, licences or insurance policies to be dealt with.

2. Take stock

Evaluate all your company’s furniture, technical equipment and random bric brac. Decide how you want your new office or work space to be laid out. Identify what, if anything, is necessary to purchase to help get you up and running in the new place, quicker. This planning stage will take longer the larger your new office space.

3. Allocate resources

Sit down, with key staff members if necessary, and plan how you can best aim to achieve the smoothest relocation possible, one that’s completed efficiently, with speed, within your designated budget. Allocate resources to all the services you’ll need, including movers and equipment transportation.

4. Choose carefully

Make sure you organise moving and cleaning services at least a month before the big day. If possible, aim for three months before. When selecting a mover or cleaning company, make sure to research potential companies well. Ensure they can, and do, provide good testimonials and/or recommendations.

5. Update everything

In those final weeks prior to your office relocation, remember to let your current customers or clients know about the change via updates on your business website. You can tie the updating of your address in with news of related specials or discounts you may decide to offer. (Remember, too, a move can be a good excuse to tweak any aspect of your business that needs it, such as branding, merchandise, product range or strategy.) Organise to have your new business cards delivered. Let the post office know about the change of address. And arrange for all staff to change the address in their email signatures.

Tips provided by Walkmove.com.au, leaders in office relocation

What does the new frontier of negative interest rates in the global arena mean for investors?

What does the new frontier of negative interest rates in the global arena mean for investors?

What does the new frontier of negative interest rates in the global arena mean for investors?

 

Cindy Yeap / The Edge Malaysia discusses “What does the new frontier of negative interest rates in the global arena mean for investors?”

“For RHB Research Institute executive chairman and chief economist Lim Chee Sing, NIRP “can only be seen as a temporary expedient to hold up financial markets”, albeit one that has little room to push for more economic growth in this relatively mature stage of the growth cycle.

“That means rising investment premiums and heightened market volatility will likely be the order of the day in the days ahead. Portfolio investors may have no choice but to build some degree of defensiveness into their portfolios to balance out the risks. This implies rising appetite for high-yield stocks,” Lim says.

“Even dividend stocks have caveats in the days ahead, largely due to their rich valuations vis-à-vis tougher conditions to grow at the same rate as before. For example, sin stocks might have to contend with higher taxes; the fees for telecommunications spectrum refarming have yet to be revealed; and consumer stocks have to contend with the possibility of a further tightening of consumer spending. Then, there is the higher labour cost.

“The focus should be on stocks with an improved business model, reasonable earnings visibility, strong cash flow, a dividend policy and, thus, sustainable dividend payments. Of course, one cannot ignore valuations but rich valuation stocks are still susceptible to a selldown should the global economy take a turn for the worse,” Lim adds.

“Gerald Ambrose, CEO of Aberdeen Islamic Asset Management Sdn Bhd, too, noted expensive valuations after a good run in recent years.

“We are keeping a close eye on notable high-yield companies, like the cellular phone companies, the brewers, tobacco companies and the REITs (real estate investment trusts). We’re currently about halfway though the 4Q2015 results season and to be honest, a lot of the better-managed companies have been able to find efficiencies to enable dividend payout to remain high. However, after outperforming for over a year, a lot of the high dividend yield companies are hardly cheap,” he says.”

BOTTOM LINE: Focus your strategy on yield and gold. Gold is an alternative when interest rates are negative adjusted for taxes and inflation.

The Difference Between a Good Analyst and a Great Analyst

I came across this piece from Quandl and it got me thinking about about politics and experts and analysts. Quandl is a data site that offers information on thousands of stocks, with historical data going back decades and futures data to help you forecast trends. They created this graphic to help novice analysts get ahead in the industry.
the Difference Between a Good and a Great Analyst

I love to talk politics. My dad and I conversed and analysed and argued about the Vietnam War and every other thing that was worth discussing. Sometimes they were heated. College was a disappointment. I thought there were would be more conversations in depth much like the ones between dad and me. Sadly, that only occurred in the classroom … infrequently. In my adult life, once in a while there is a conversation I look back on with fondness. Those conversations  with new friends or in depth conversations over a fine dinner. Today, it is hard to have conversations when each participant is holding on to biases and attaching their ego to those opinions.

I want to have conversations with great analysts.

When I was a broker, I made the most money for my clients when I could analyse the facts, and draw conclusions from those facts that were outside the norm. If you saw The Big Short you saw great analysts reach conclusions that were farseeing. The consequences of their conclusions were far reaching.made them huge piles of money.

It is one thing to develop a story about the future of Germany or Cuba if you are a citizen, another thing altogether to draw the conclusion that being Jewish in Germany is existential; it is another thing to be Cuban and realize that the door to Spain is the only escape and it will close soon.

To stand in a place and observe that a country that spends more than it takes in and builds up debt to the point that they can barely pay the interest is a good analyst. To be a great analyst it takes courage to conclude that this cannot stand and it’s time to leave.

Great analysts tell stories that are believable and motivate others to take action. Strive to become a great analyst.

Folks, It’s Happening All Over America!


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