Ad tag:

Mover Mike

Mike is a retired stock broker, and now supports his wife's furniture business. He is her warehouseman, deluxer, and marketing guru. In addition, he writes poetry and finds abundance, health and joy in the world around him while pondering life's little mysteries

Monday, May 5, 2008

Bank of America To Walk Away???
On January 10th I wrote B of A in Talks to Buy Countrywide
Bank of America Agrees to Buy Countrywide for $4 Billion The deal rescues the country's largest mortgage lender and expands the financial services empire of the nation's largest consumer bank. The transaction would value Countrywide at $7.16 a share.
Reuters and Forbes are both suggesting that B of A is on the verge of either backing out of the deal or renegotiating the price.
Bank of America faces $20 billion to $30 billion in write-downs once the deal closes because it has to mark Countrywide's loan portfolio to market, according to Paul Miller of Friedman Billings Ramsey, who said in a research note Monday that Bank of America should cut its price from $7 a share to $2 a share or less.
B of A seems to be wary of Countrywide's option ARM portfolio which according to S&P Equity Research analysts has not been stress tested.

Saturday, May 3, 2008

Nau Shutters Stores!
In November of 2007 I wrote What Is NAU?

Nau Inc. (pronounced "now") was a sustainable clothing e-tailer. It had plans to open 20 stores this year and 140 by 2010. Just two weeks ago it opened in Los Angeles. Yesterday, it closed its doors permanently.

Nau's appeal: With every sale we donate 5% to environmental or humanitarian organizations working to create positive change. Their partners are Conservation International, Heifer International, 1000 Friends of Oregon, Ecotrust and The Oregon National Desert Association. NAU also has a blog, The Thought Kitchen and an interesting post I’m Dreaming of a Green Christmas, Part 1 NAU has four stores, one in Bridgeport, Boulder, CO, Chicago, IL and Bellevue, WA.
I have never been a fan of socially responsible investing. As a stockbroker, I pooh-poohed the idea, even though funds were started on the concept and some brokers specialized in the area.

I believe a company's sole business is to make money and reward shareholders. Make so much money for shareholders that they can choose to spend their money funding bleeding heart causes, which are probably all anti-Capitalist, and, in turn, will try to kill the golden goose.

Which is better: Nau giving 5% of sales to environmental groups or growing the business to the point that hundreds of people work at Nau, get salaries and health and retirement benefits, and spend all the hard earned money in the communities, who, in turn, contribute to the art museums, and support plays and ballet and OPB, and feel so prosperous that they vote on funding for the schools?

I'm sorry to see Nau go under. I really like their clothes even though they seemed pricey. The good news: one more time a goody-goody concept bit the dust and their clothes and accessories are 50% off, while supplies last!

Is DirectBuy A Sham?
I hear their ads. DirectBuy! Even Dr Laura carries an ad on her show. This expose from KHOU.com in Houston, however, is not a ringing endorsement!

Friday, May 2, 2008

It's Official, Linens 'n Things Files Chap 11
The Atlanta Journal Constitution reports,
On Friday, the bedding and home furnishings chain filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in Delaware -- just two weeks after its vendors required "cash before delivery" payment and three weeks after the company hired Financo to look for a buyer.

Linens 'n Things will ask the bankruptcy court to let it close 120 of its 589 stores, including five of its 20 Georgia stores. The stores will close over the next few months, a spokeswoman said.

[...]

Linens 'n Things blamed the current bad economy, but signs of trouble began when it was taken private by three investors in 2006. Saddled by debt from the $1.3 billion transaction, Linens 'n Things never caught up to rival Bed Bath & Beyond in terms of sales per square foot.

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. It's Official, Linens 'n Things Files Chap 11
  2. Linens 'n Things May File Chapter 11

Friday, April 18, 2008

Ceres Capital Partners Files Chap 11
Ceres Capital Partners LLC, a firm specializing in forming structured investment vehicles (SIVs), filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Thursday, saying it was unable to operate due to the subprime credit squeeze, according to a court filing. SIVs borrow short and lend long and this SIV found itself unable to roll over its short term debt.

Ceres, which is partly owned by XL Reinsurance America Inc (XL.N:)

and Stanfield Capital Partners had assets of $1 Million and liabilities between $50 million and $100 million! "SIV assets have been difficult to value since the mortgage market collapse..."

Monday, April 14, 2008

Linens 'n Things Chapter 11 UPDATE

I posted last week that Linens 'n Things May File Chapter 11 Tuesday. Gifts & Decorative Accessories wrote Sunday

...at least two retail liquidators have already conducted inventory valuations and store closing assessments in upward of 100 Linens ’n Things (LNT) units that might be shuttered.

At the same time, many suppliers, including at least some of its majors, have either stopped shipping LNT or placed them on COD status, people familiar with the situation said.

[...]

The beleaguered retailer has apparently been preparing for that eventuality for at least two weeks, not long after its fourth quarter conference call in which it reported a steep net loss of $62 million on anemic sales of $962.9 million. During that time, LNT merchants and others have been calling around to vendors gathering formal corporate information on them — including mailing addresses and names of senior executives — the kind commonly included in court filings listing unsecured creditors.

Update:

It's mazing how interconnected the financial markets are. Linens is on the hook to GE and a $15 Million payment is due tomorrow, Tuesday!
A GE spokesman confirmed that its Commercial Finance unit is the lead agent on a $700-million revolving credit facility to Linens 'n Things, but declined to comment further.
The problems at Linens "raise questions about other retailers taken private in buyouts in recent years. They include Toys "R" Us and upmarket chain, Neiman Marcus."

Apollo Global Management bought Linens in a LBO and has filed a prospectus to go public "and is negotiating (with a couple of other firms) to buy $US12 billion of leveraged debt from Citigroup," which would help Citigroup.

Like Sun Capital "some of Apollo's other buyouts are said to be finding it tough, including real estate group, Realogy, the parent of the real estate companies Coldwell Banker and Century 21, and another chain, Claire's Stores, a jewelery, cosmetic and accessories chain catering for young women."

Friday, April 11, 2008

Linens 'n Things May File Chapter 11

The New Jersey-based company, Linens 'n Things, whose products range from sheets and curtains to cookware and massage chairs, has 600 stores nationwide and $2.79 billion in net sales last year.

Linens 'n Things has seven stores in Oregon: TANASBOURNE TOWN CENTER, CASCADE PLAZA in Beaverton, FORUM SHOPPING CENTER in Bend, ROGUE VALLEY MALL in Medford, two stores in Portland and the LANCASTER MALL in Salem.

...the U.S. housing downturn and weak economy have exacerbated the company's problems, since consumers have reined in spending on home goods.

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. It's Official, Linens 'n Things Files Chap 11
  2. Linens 'n Things May File Chapter 11

Monday, April 7, 2008

TPG To Shore Up WAMU???
I last posted about Washington Mutual here on March 19th quoting Senior Editor Marcie Belles at Bank360.net that WAMU "is technically insolvent." Belles writes today that the bank is nearing a deal for a $5 Billion capital infusion.
Washington Mutual Inc.’s stock continued its roller-coaster ride today, on speculation that the Seattle-based thrift was nearing a deal for $5 billion in capital.

WaMu’s stock was up 17% as of 10:30 a.m. Eastern time today, as investors rallied on the news that private equity firm TPG and others would shore up the bank’s capital position. In the past six weeks, the bank’s stock [ticker: WM] has dropped more than 40%.

WaMu has been hit especially hard by the mortgage crisis, being referred to by some as technically insolvent. In January, the lender said it planned to set aside as much as $2 billion for credit losses in the quarter. But last month Moody’s predicted that WaMu would have to set aside far more — $12 billion of loan-loss reserves. At the time, the rating agency slashed WaMu’s debt rating to one step above junk status.

Though it appears WaMu’s shareholders have been assuaged, their relief may be short-lived if Moody’s predictions are correct.

WAMU is up 32% to $13.50. TPG was formally the Texas Pacific Group which, if memory serves, tried to buy Portland General Electric.

Sunday, April 6, 2008

"The Newspaper Industry Is Dying..."

Douglas McIntyre at Blogging Stocks suggests that
Journal Register (NYSE: JRC) may be the first large, listed newspaper company to go into Chapter 11. With falling revenue and high debt, the company ...publishes a number of papers including the New Haven Register.

[...]

The newspaper industry is dying more quickly now and there will be other defaults in the next year or two. Large chains like McClatchy (NYSE: MNI) face severe debt problems. Its lenders may end up owning the company.

Friday, April 4, 2008

Fitch Drops MBIA to AA!

From Forbes,

In the financial sector MBIA (nyse: MBI) made the afternoon headlines, after Fitch Ratings cut its long-term rating to A from AA, dropped its insurer financial strength rating to AA from AAA. The rating agency also said the bond insurer's losses on collateralized debt obligations could reach $4.9 billion, according to TradeTheNews.com.
The more influential Moody's and Standard and Poors still have MBI at AAA
The MBIA news appeared to spark the late selling trend that saw the market coast to its mixed finish.
David Gaffen at the WSJ says the market didn't react to the news because it is "so last month." Is it? If the two other rating services reluctantly drag their feet to AA also, will the market still say "so last month?" I doubt it!

Meantime, the third largest insurer suffered another cut: Fitch cuts FGIC insured-only municipal ratings to BBB, outlook negative.

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Thomas H. Lee Partners Hit Once Again!
The news sent me scurrying through my old Refco posts.
Banks Sued Over Clear Channel
The dispute over Clear Channel escalated as private-equity firms filed suit, seeking to force lenders to fund the $19 billion buyout. A failed deal could cost Bain Capital and Thomas H. Lee Partners nearly $1 billion combined.
Back in November, 2005, Forbes wrote,
Last year, (Thomas H.) Lee's $508 million investment in Refco, formerly the largest independent futures brokerage, seemed like a winner.
Yup, back in those posts was Thomas H. Lee Partners. $500 Billion Million here, $500 Billion Million there, "Pretty soon we're talking about real money!" Only Sen. Dirksen was talking about $1 Billion.

Update:

Justice Dept. Report Accuses KPMG
It was almost a year ago I posted this headline, New Century, Sub-Prime Lender, Bankrupt!

Now the NY Times reports an independent report commissioned by a division of the Justice Department concludes “improper and imprudent practices” by New Century were condoned and enabled by its auditors, KPMG.

The 580-page report documents how New Century lowered its reserves for loans that investors were forcing it to buy back even as such repurchases were surging. Had it not changed its accounting, the company would have reported a loss rather a profit in the second half of 2006. The company first acknowledged that its accounting was wrong in February 2007 and sought bankruptcy protection less than two months later as its lenders stopped doing business with it.
Who benefitted?
The profit was important because it allowed executives to earn bonuses and convince Wall Street that it was in fine shape financially when in fact its business was coming apart, the report contended.
"A spokeswoman for KPMG, Kathy Fitzgerald, denied the accusations."
Pier 1 exiting online business

Another indication that the rush to open online stores is failing. Maybe the competition is too fierce or the margins too low. What ever the case Pier 1 Imports with 1,000-plus stores is no slouch in retailing.

Lehman Follow-Up
After Bear Stearns fell, I asked Is Lehman Next? Lehman came out with its earnings report last week that soothed Wall Street's worries.

However, in a piece The Debt Shuffle by Jesse Eisinger, Eisinger's concludes:

The picture emerging is that of an investment bank that is dancing as fast as it can
Eisinger points out that:
  • Lehman’s balance sheet isn’t shrinking, as we’d expect. - Other financial institutions are taking down their exposure right now amid the market turmoil to be prudent
  • Lehman got more leveraged, not less. - The investment banks “gross” leverage hit 31.7 times equity, up from the fourth quarter and way up from last year’s 28.1.
  • Lehman includes debt in its calculation of equity. Say what?
  • Lehman reaped substantial earnings gains because investors thought it is more likely to go bankrupt.
  • Lehman’s write-downs seem tiny. - The bank only wrote these assets down by 3 percent. And its Level III assets —the hardest to value portion of these instruments—were written down by only the same percentage.

If Lehman fails, how much will the FED have to spend this time and will JP Morgan ride again to the rescue?

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. Lehman Follow-Up
  2. Is Lehman Next?

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

WaMu’s Predicament
Bear (BSC) is gone, and today Lehman (LEH) and Goldman Sachs (GS) are hitting the Fed's window of opportunity.
Lehman borrowed the money through the facility, which was announced over the weekend and makes money available to securities firms on much the same conditions as the Fed's discount window, late on Tuesday, the paper reported, citing an unnamed person familiar with the transaction.

The Wall Street Journal also reported that Goldman Sachs Group Inc is likely to tap the facility before the end of the week.

Who's next? Senior Editor Marcie Belles at Bank360.net suggests WAMU (WM).
With regulators essentially ready to bail out just about any financial institution facing crippling capital pressures, the worst is yet to come.

...today’s talk focuses on National City Corp. and Washington Mutual Inc.

The stocks of both regional banks have been hammered — National City’s because of rumors it has put itself on the sales block and WaMu’s because its debt rating was cut on Friday to one step above junk status. Moody’s predicted WaMu would have to set aside $12 billion of loan-loss reserves, far more than previously predicted.

Though I don’t have a great sense for the potential fallout at Nat City, I have heard some talk that WaMu is technically insolvent. The issue revolves around the Seattle-based bank’s mark-to-market strategy for its whole loan and mortgage portfolio.

Of WaMu’s $328 billion of assets at yearend, 22% are non-real-estate-related. That leaves $256 billion worth connected to prime single-family residence and mortgage-backed securities, home equity and consumer loans, multi-family and commercial real estate, and subprime mortgages.

The way I understand it, WaMu only needs to mark down its loans to market value once they become "substandard." At that point, I’m afraid, it would be too late.

Friday, March 14, 2008

Bear Stearns rattles the market

Bear Stearns plunges 50% in opening minutes and rattles the market. Rumors have rebounded across the country that the "Bear" was dying.

The company (Bear Stearns) has struggled since the middle of 2007 due to the fallout in the mortgage and credit markets. Last summer, two hedge funds worth billions of dollars managed by Bear Stearns collapsed because of bad bets on securities backed by subprime mortgages -- loans given to customers with poor credit history.
It appears that JP Morgan Chase is using part of the new FED 28 day, $200 Billion credit line to keep Bear Stearns afloat.

Monday, March 3, 2008

Thornburg Mortgage Drops 51%

Thornburg Mortgage Inc. lost more than half its market value after the home lender failed to meet $270 million of margin calls and a Citigroup Inc. analyst said bankruptcy is possible.

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Sharper Image files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

Reuters reports that Sharper Image has filed Chapter 11, "citing declining sales, three straight years of losses and litigation involving its Ionic Breeze air purifiers."

The company deals with about 650 vendors and suppliers on a credit basis, many of whom began to request cash upon delivery, according to court papers.
"Sharper Image is in a severe liquidity crisis," Chief Financial Officer Rebecca Roedell said in a separate filing.

Sites of stores in U.S.

UPDATE:

Federal law allows a company to stop honoring store gift cards when it files Chapter 11 bankruptcy, and that's exactly what's happening at San Francisco-based Sharper Image. Sales clerks are telling customers they can no longer accept the plastic cards as payment, and the cards are no longer accepted when customers try to use them online.

Sharper Image could be sitting on as much as $25 million dollars in gift card money, according to an estimate by Brian Riley, a senior analyst with the Needham, Mass.-based TowerGroup, a research and advisory services firm. Riley follows Sharper Image.

Monday, February 18, 2008

Happy Valentine's Day From UBS
While I was sojourning in Mazatlan, UBS announced a fine Valentine's present for shareholders by losing more than $11 Billion in the fourth quarter and announcing its first full-year net loss in a decade. There may be more bad news to come.
Switzerland's No. 1 bank said it still holds $27.59 billion in securities linked to U.S. subprime residential mortgages, down from $38.77 billion in September.

UBS also disclosed further exposure of $11.4 billion in leveraged finance and $26.6 billion in alt-A mortgages.

Here's the PS on that card:
UBS also said it got a Wells Notice last week from the Securities and Exchange Commission related to a municipal bond probe.
Isn't this a lovely chart?

Saturday, February 9, 2008

Wells Notices Received
Dexia SA DEXI.BR (Brussels) and Bank of America Corp (BAC) received a Wells Notice from the SEC following a probe of municipal guaranteed investment contracts (GICs). The Wells Notice indicates that the SEC staff intends to recommend filing civil charges against the companies but also gives each time to respond.
Both companies were among about 30 firms subpoenaed in November 2006 in a federal price-fixing probe related to the bidding of guaranteed investment contracts, which state and local governments use to park proceeds of municipal bond sales.

[...]

The SEC, the Internal Revenue Service and the U.S. Justice Department in November 2006 started an industry-wide investigation of how municipal bond proceeds are invested.

As I understand these things, when a bond is floated the money has to be put somewhere until it's used for the municipal purpose. Reserves and other funds are set up to make sure that the bondholders get paid. Sometimes the money isn't used. Bloomberg notes a CDR Financial that
...had a secret agreement with the provider of a guaranteed investment contract for bonds issued in 1999 by an authority in Gulf Breeze, Florida, The deal allowed CDR to increase its fees if none of $220 million in bond proceeds was used for its intended purpose -- affordable housing.